Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Elmer Moller Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Who shows better recent form in second serve points? Carreno-Busta, with a win percentage of 44.39%, edges out Moller, who stands at 42.1%.
• How does their return game compare? Carreno-Busta secures 45.32% of points on opponents' second serve, while Moller does slightly better with 47.94%.
• When it comes to first serve returns, Moller leads with a 31.43% success rate, compared to Carreno-Busta's 26.03%.
• Under pressure, Carreno-Busta saves 56.08% of breakpoints, slightly outperforming Moller at 53.49%.
• Looking at performance over the last year, Moller has a higher match win rate at 59.42% compared to Carreno-Busta’s 52.63%.
• What is their best surface? Both excel on clay: Carreno-Busta with a win rate of 66%, and Moller at 70%.
• On grass, both players struggle, with Carreno-Busta winning 30% and Moller yet to win a match.
• Considering match levels, Carreno-Busta wins 72% of matches in the $10K Challengers/ITF tier, outperforming Moller's 64.81% in the same tier.
• Carreno-Busta faces tougher competition, with opponents averaging rank 161.32 compared to Moller's 217.48.
• In deciding sets, Moller boasts a win rate of 52%, defeating Carreno-Busta's 35% success rate.
• Breakpoint conversion favors Moller at 34.06% over Carreno-Busta’s 29.29%.

Editorial Prediction (September 14, 2025, UTC):

As the match between Carreno-Busta and Moller approaches, analyzing various performance metrics indicates a closely matched contest. Carreno-Busta displays superior performance in second serve success and breakpoint resilience, suggesting steadiness under pressure.

Nonetheless, Moller outshines in return stats and first-serve returns, underscoring defensive capabilities. Moller's advantage in conversion rates serves as a potential game-changer, particularly in pivotal match moments.

Despite Carreno-Busta facing stronger competition historically, Moller's track record in deciding sets offers a competitive edge. Factoring in these statistics, Moller emerges with a slight lead as the likely victor in this match-up.